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Aviation in times of global warming
The threat of global warming has led to global panic, and
even the aviation industry, with all its glories, has not been exempted from
public flogging. Reema Sisodia takes a closer look at the impact of air
travel on the environment
The
global aviation industry seems to be threatened by a roadblock in the form of
an environmental crisis, even as the sector back home was just beginning to
get its act together. The on-again-off-again menace of an impending global warming
has reared its head yet again and this time it is making air travel its chosen
target.
Although a few associations and other entities that might have interests in
this particular segment have demonstrated partial (or complete) dissent from
the majority opinion, the level of emissions caused by air travel is still a
matter of concern - even to an industry as young and developing as that in India.
Even though it might not figure in the five top polluting industries in the
world today, it may come back to haunt it in future.
Concern or indifference?
Global warming and climate change is a serious cause of concern; it has even
made its way in high level forums and discussions internationally. While the
recent World Travel & Tourism Summit held in Lisbon, Portugal dedicated
a session to this topic, the 2nd International Conference on Tourism & Climate
Change by World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO) to be held in Davos this October
is scheduled to address this topic as well.
While there are other industries and businesses that contribute to global warming,
the aviation sector is regarded to be among the fastest growing contributors.
And even though aviation's share of overall greenhouse gas emissions is still
modest (about three per cent), its rapid growth undermines progress made in
other sectors.
A bit of statistics clears the air. According to a few reports and studies,
the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by air travel doubled between 1990 and
2004. That is incompatible with the need to reduce carbon emissions by 60 per
cent by 2050 (or nearer 70 per cent by 2035 according to the latest research
from the UK-based Tyndall Centre for climate change research).
International airline companies are however showing commitment
to do their bit. Scientific advisors to Sir Richard Branson of Virgin Atlantic
Airways disagree with George Monbiot, author of best-selling books like The
Age of Consent, when he suggests that airline fuel could be replaced by kerosene.
Reportedly, Branson is prepared to invest over £1 billion in researching
how bio-fuels might provide a low carbon alternative to kerosene.
EasyJet has also worked out measures to tackle its carbon emissions. Its passengers
can opt into its voluntary scheme to buy carbon offset when they book their
tickets online, which is also a UN- accredited. programme Even NatureAir Group,
Naturegate has started the practice of going carbon neutral. Alex E Khajavi,
its CEO and chairman of the board, says, "We have the dreamers and we have
the practitioners. There needs to be balance. We felt it was our duty and our
wish to go carbon neutral."
| Aircraft typically operate at cruising altitudes
of eight to 13 km, where they release several gases and particles which
alter the composition of the atmosphere and contribute to climate change.
CO2 is the most important greenhouse gas because of the large quantities
released and its long residence time in the atmosphere. Increasing concentrations
have a well-known, direct effect which warms the earth's surface.
Nitrogen oxides have two indirect effects on the
climate. Nitrogen oxides produce ozone under the influence of sunlight,
but they also reduce the atmospheric concentration of methane. Both ozone
and methane are strong greenhouse gases. They have opposite effects but
the net result is that the ozone dominates the methane effect, thus warming
the earth.
Water vapour released by aircraft has a direct greenhouse
gas effect, but as it is quickly removed by precipitation the effect is
small. However, water vapour emitted at high altitude often triggers the
formation of condensation trails, which tend to warm the earth's surface.
Moreover, such 'contrails' may develop into cirrus clouds (clouds of ice
crystals). These are also suspected of having a significant warming effect,
but this is still uncertain.
Sulphate and soot particles have a smaller direct effect
compared with other aircraft emissions. Soot absorbs heat and has a warming
effect; sulphate particles reflect radiation and have a small cooling
effect. In addition, they can influence the formation and properties of
clouds.
Source: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/emission
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Greener option
Airlines have an option, albeit financially exhausting, to go green. Here's
what they can do to reduce emissions.
- Investing in more efficient aircraft
Airlines can reduce their emissions by investing in more efficient aircraft
and engines and in optimising operations. Although the biggest improvements
would typically arise from accelerated fleet renewal, many aircraft in the current
fleets also hold potential for improvements. For instance, some aircraft can
be retrofitted with technical devices at the tip of the wings ('winglets'),
new surface treatments that reduce drag (air resistance) and even new engines.
Airlines can also optimise their timetables, route network and flight frequencies
to minimise the number of empty seats flown. 'Operational Opportunities to Minimise
Fuel Use & Reduce Emissions', a catalogue published by ICAO, the international
body responsible for aviation matters, offers more suggestions.
In the longer term, research into more efficient technologies and alternative
fuels may provide additional opportunities. Arnie Weissmann, editor-in-chief
of Travel Weekly, explains, "Aviation is certainly investing in new technologies,
both in aircraft and alternative fuels. But I doubt that that will be enough.
It's possible that many gas-guzzling aircraft now in current use, such as the
MD-80, will be banished from the skies. The problem is thorny - alternatives
to aviation are not really any better for the environment (cars and buses contribute,
in total, much higher emissions), and rail networks do not exist everywhere."
John Francis, PhD, founder of PlanetWalk, agrees and adds, "Plane manufacturers
and airlines need to take a proactive stance by developing more efficient and
less polluting engines, such as the Boeing 787. Also I think there needs to
be more research on alternative fuels as well as airport sites and operations
and other methods of travel."
| The EU Emissions Trading Scheme, which started on
January 1 2005, covers almost 11,500 industrial installations which together
are responsible for nearly half of all EU CO2 emissions. Operators of these
installations receive emission allowances giving them the right to emit
a certain level of CO2 per year.
The total of these allowances creates a 'cap' on
overall emissions from these installations. After each year, operators
must surrender the number of allowances equal to their actual emissions
in that year. The existence of a market in which these allowances can
be traded enables participating companies to manage their emissions cost-effectively.
If they anticipate that their emissions will exceed their allowances,
they can either take measures to reduce their emissions - for instance
by installing more efficient technology - or they can buy additional emission
allowances on the market, whichever is cheaper. Conversely, if their actual
emissions are lower than their allowances, they can sell their surplus
allowances on the market or else 'bank' them to cover future emissions.
Including the aviation sector in the Emissions Trading Scheme would expand
the market covered by an overall emissions cap. Aircraft operators would
be allocated emission allowances, thus giving them a permanent incentive
to reduce their climate impact, but they would also have the flexibility
to buy or sell allowances as necessary. While a global, uniform system
would ideally be preferable, emissions trading at a global level is not
a realistic option in the present time. ICAO has recognised this by deciding
against the idea of a global system based on setting up a new legal instrument
under ICAO auspices. In contrast, ICAO has endorsed the idea of incorporating
international aviation emissions into states' existing trading schemes.
The approach proposed in the communication is therefore fully in line
with ICAO policy. In addition, the EU continues to cooperate with partners
in ICAO to promote emissions trading and other actions to combat aviation's
contribution to climate change.
Source: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/emission
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- Guidelines for emission reduction
According to Weissmann, guidelines and targets for emission reduction will be
established, with yearly emission reduction goals, and certain aircraft banned
from the skies. "There needs to be clear outlines of duties and responsibilities
established, and it's becoming clear that the airline industry will not self-regulate.
Governments will step in and intervene, setting guidelines. I believe it will
happen first in Europe, and if a Democrat is elected president in 2008, the
US will follow closely thereafter."
As for the rest of the world, he thinks they will come into line simply because
they cannot afford to be closed out of these markets. "Unless world governments
are convinced we are looking at certain doom as a planet or species, commercial
aviation will continue, but with greater efficiency. If targets are not reached
through technology, it's conceivable that goals for emissions per-passenger-mile
will be established, which could have an impact on first-class and business
class models - those might be considered extravagances (though, again, if offsets
are considered valid, there will be people who will be willing to pay the price,
by buying offsets, for the comfort)," he adds.
A strong and persistent campaign that would bring in a sort of an international
awakening may also prove to be effective in the long run.
Airlines can play a major role in familiarising consumers in what offsetting
means and how it contributes to the reduction of carbon. Tony Charters, Principal
Tony Charters & Associates, Australia, says, "I think airlines have
a great opportunity to educate the consumer about carbon offsetting and climate
change. However it will be important that offsetting isn't treated in a superficial
way - the price of offsetting should be based on the real cost of carbon and
not just some token amount."
Responsible travel - will it be a reality?
This
is a tough question to answer. Who would define responsible travel? Let's face
it: it is impossible to stop flying completely. But there are things that may
be undone - like countries stressing more on domestic tourism. Better rail connectivity
would help. Francis, who did not speak for 17 years and refrained from using
any transport for 22 years, says, "While I spent those years walking I
realised that there was plenty to see and experience on the ground and in my
own backyard. While I believe air travel will be with us for the foreseeable
future, a new travel model is evolving - 'going slow'. Whether we use air travel
or not, our travel becomes one of human power once we reach our destination."
But things might not be as simple when it comes to business travel. Weissmann
says, "For business travel, things get more complicated - carbon offsets
are likely to be the only way that businesses will be able to justify travel,
and they will likely be held publicly accountable in this regard."
Other sectors such as power generation and household temperature control are
far bigger. The goal for our globalised society should be to reduce the absolute
amount of emissions from all sources while rebalancing the share that different
sectors make. Air travel could become 10 per cent of a smaller total amount
because we appreciate the value it gives to trade, relationships and peace.
This, Jon Pontin of The Converging World feels, places a huge responsibility
on the aviation industry to converge onto an appropriate scale where the benefits
are equally shared and a long-term future makes sense in the light of total
carbon emissions and dwindling energy supplies. "It will require all efforts
possible to improve efficiency especially to reduce the number of planes taking
off. It means a different pact with passengers to achieve these goals,"
he says.
Dispelling myths
Despite all these discussions, there are associations like the International
Air Transport Association (IATA) that say that these are "myths".
At the opening of the Second Aviation & the Environment Summit, Giovanni
Bisignani, its director general and CEO, said, ""The environment is
among aviation's top challenges. First we must kill some persistent myths about
our approach to the environment." He identified five "myths"
that must be debunked with fact:
I. Air transport was excluded from Kyoto and is doing
nothing on the environment.
Fact: "Domestic aviation is included in Kyoto.
International air transport was excluded but with a commitment to find a solution
through ICAO by the 2007 Assembly. Airlines took environmental performance seriously
long before Kyoto. Over the last 40 years emissions per passenger-kilometre
have decreased by 70 per cent."
II. Air transport is a major source of greenhouse gas
emissions.
Fact: "Air transport contributes a small part
of global CO2 emissions-two per cent. By contrast, the air transport industry
supports eight per cent of global economic activity. Even if all air travel
stopped, the result is only a two per cent global improvement in CO2 emissions.
But the impact on global economies would be disastrous."
III. Air transport is the most polluting form of transport.
Fact: "Airline fuel efficiency improved 20 per
cent in the last decade, nearly five per cent over the past two years alone.
Today's modern aircraft consume, on average 3.5 litres per 100 passenger-kilometres.
This is similar to a small compact car but with six times the speed. Next generation
aircraft-the Boeing 787 and Airbus A380 are targeting fuel efficiencies below
three litres per 100 passenger-kilometers."
IV. Air transport is getting a free ride by not paying
tax on fuel.
Fact: "Air transport pays entirely for its own
infrastructure-a US$ 42 billion annual bill. Airlines pay when they land, when
they fly and when they park. This is completely different from both road and
rail. On top of that air transport is a cash cow for many governments. In Europe
every rail journey is subsidised between 2.4 and 7.4 Euros. But every air journey
contributes between 4.6 and 8.4 Euros in government revenues and avoided expenditure."
V. Air transport growth is not sustainable.
Fact: "Air transport is essential. Air transport
brings people to business, products to markets, tourists to holiday destinations
and unites families and friends around the world. In short, air transport made
the global village a reality. 80 per cent of aviation emissions are related
to flights over 1,500 km for which there is no alternative mode of transport."
IATA's strategy consists of four core principles. According to Bisignani, there
are:
- Lighter materials and more efficient engines have
driven progress so far. Now it is time for governments to ensure that oil
companies invest in research on alternative fuel sources.
- Infrastructure and operations must be a part of
the solution. Airlines are on track with their voluntary commitment to reduce
emissions by 10 per cent between 2000 and 2010. Governments and air traffic
service providers must contribute as well. Globally, optimised air traffic
procedures could deliver 12 per cent greater efficiency.
- Taxes are not the answer. They do nothing for the
environment. And they kill the economic social benefits that air transport
brings. A solution must be found that does not limit airlines' ability to
invest in new technology.
- Emissions trading may be a part of the solution.
But it must be a global solution agreed through ICAO. We are in the process
to achieve a result for the 2007 Assembly. There is no time to get distracted
with local or regional schemes that will be less effective than a global solution.
He adds, "Environmental responsibility is a pillar of our industry alongside
safety and security. We are the safest form of transport because of global standards
and harmonisation. The same approach is needed to deliver the best results on
environment issues."
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